The question of whether Syria and Lebanon will join Israel’s “circle of peace” remains open, with significant obstacles despite Israel’s expressed interest in normalization. Foreign Minister Gideon Saar announced on Monday Israel’s ambition to forge formal ties, yet his unwavering stance on the non-negotiable Golan Heights and the fundamental disagreement over Palestinian statehood present formidable challenges.
Israel’s diplomatic overture comes as its leaders argue that Iran’s perceived weakening after this month’s 12-day war presents an opportunity for other countries in the region to forge ties. This follows a period of significant regional upheaval, including the Gaza conflict, Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon, and the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad in Syria.
Saar emphasized Israel’s desire to expand its “circle of peace,” while safeguarding its “essential and security interests.” This push for broader regional ties aligns with the 2020 Abraham Accords, which saw the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco normalize relations with Israel, though these agreements were deeply unpopular in the broader Arab world.
However, a senior Syrian official, speaking anonymously, firmly stated that normalization efforts must be part of the comprehensive 2002 Arab Peace Initiative. This initiative calls for full Arab recognition of Israel in exchange for its complete withdrawal from occupied territories, including the Golan Heights, West Bank, and Gaza, and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state. Israel’s Foreign Minister, however, deemed conditioning normalization on Palestinian statehood “not constructive” and a threat to Israel’s security, illustrating the deep ideological chasm and the numerous obstacles on the path to peace.