Donald Trump believes a “strong US role” can avert conflict on the Nile. The former President has offered to resume mediation efforts between Egypt and Ethiopia, suggesting that American oversight is the missing ingredient in resolving the dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.
Trump’s proposal, conveyed to Cairo, emphasizes the need for technical solutions. He argues that with “the right technical expertise,” the nations can agree on a protocol that allows Ethiopia to generate electricity while ensuring “predictable water releases” for Egypt.
The dispute over the GERD has strained relations in East Africa for over a decade. Egypt relies on the Nile for its survival and fears the dam will reduce the river’s volume. Ethiopia, meanwhile, views the project as essential for its economic growth. Sudan shares concerns about the dam’s operation.
Trump has a history of involvement in this file. During his first term, he attempted to broker an agreement, though it ultimately fell through. He has frequently claimed credit for managing the situation, even suggesting his efforts deserved a Nobel Peace Prize.
By offering to bring American monitors to the table, Trump is hoping to depoliticize the negotiations. His focus on a verifiable, data-based agreement aims to provide the assurances both sides need to sign a binding pact, potentially averting a major regional crisis.